Appendix A

Summary Assessment of Prototypes Based on IOM/CCU Principles

Principles
Status Quo (Current U.S. Health Care System)
Prototype 1:
Major Public Program Expansion and Tax Credit
Prototype 2:
Employer Mandate, Premium Subsidy, and Individual Mandate
Prototype 3: Individual Mandate and Tax Credit
Prototype 4: Single Payer
Coverage should be universal Not universal; 43 million uninsured Would not achieve universality because voluntary, but would reduce uninsured population Coverage likely to be high: depends on enforcement of mandates Depends on size of tax credit, enforcement, and cost of individual insurance Likely to achieve universal coverage
Coverage should be continuous Not continuous; income, age, family, job, and health-related gaps in coverage Family and job-related gaps in coverage Brief gaps related to life and job transitions Minimal gaps Continuous until death or age 65
Coverage should be affordable for individuals and families Private coverage unaffordable to many moderate- and low-income persons More affordable than current system for those with low or moderate income Yes for workers, assuming adequate employer premium assistance; public program designed to be affordable for all enrollees Subsidy based only on income and family size leaves older, less healthy, and those in expensive areas with less affordable coverage Minimal cost sharing, but could be problem for lowest income
Strategy should be affordable and sustainable for society Not affordable or sustainable for society All participants contribute; aggregate expenditures not controlled; new public expenditures for only the public program expansion and tax credit; sustainability of public program depends on revenue sources and political support; size of credit depends on political support All participants contribute; basic package less costly than current employment coverage; revenue from patients in public program; sustainability depends on revenue sources for employers’ premium assistance and public program No limit on aggregate health expenditures or on tax expenditure, though federal costs relatively predictable and controllable through size of credit; sustainable through federal income tax base; size of credit depends on political support Nearly all participants contribute; aggregate expenditures controllable, utilization not directly or centrally controlled; high cost to federal budget; administrative savings; sustainability depends on revenue source and political support.
Coverage should enhance health through high-quality care Quality of care for the population limited because one in seven is uninsured Opportunities to promote quality improvements similar to current system Could design quality incentives in expended public program and basic benefit package; current employer incentives for quality remain Similar incentives to current private insurance system; consumer could choose quality plans
Potentially yes; depends on proper design
Source Reprinted with permission from (Insuring America's Health: Principles and Recommendations) © 2004 by the National Academy of Sciences, courtesy of the National Academies Press, Washington, D.C.